1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.22
xG Away
0.92
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Fenerbahce an expected 2.2 goals and Alanyaspor an expected 0.9 goals. Fenerbahce have a 67% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Alanyaspor at 14%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
10.7%
2:1
9.8%
1:0
9.6%
1:1
8.8%
3:0
7.9%
3:1
7.3%
2:2
4.5%
4:0
4.4%
0:0
4.3%
1:2
4%
4:1
4%
0:1
4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Fenerbahce Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 67% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.49 |
| Market Odds | 1.59 |
Team Comparison
| Fenerbahce | Alanyaspor | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 11 |
| 74 | Points | 37 |
| 62% | Win % | 21% |
| 2.26 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
Venue Form
Fenerbahce at Home
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Alanyaspor Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Fenerbahce
W
L
W
Alanyaspor
W
D
L
