1
14%
Home Win
6.96
X
17%
Draw
5.76
2
68%
Away Win
1.47
xG Home
1.05
xG Away
2.47
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
BTTS
60%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Zurich an expected 1.1 goals and FC Thun an expected 2.5 goals. FC Zurich have a 14% win probability, draw stands at 17%, and FC Thun at 68%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 68%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:2
9.5%
0:2
9%
1:3
7.8%
1:1
7.7%
0:3
7.4%
0:1
7.3%
2:2
5%
1:4
4.8%
0:4
4.6%
2:3
4.1%
2:1
4.1%
1:0
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Thun Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 68% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.47 |
| Market Odds | 1.56 |
Team Comparison
| FC Zurich | FC Thun | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 1 |
| 34 | Points | 71 |
| 32% | Win % | 72% |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.25 |
| 1.94 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.13 |
Venue Form
FC Zurich at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
FC Thun Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
FC Zurich
W
W
FC Thun
W
L
