1
28%
Home Win
3.64
X
24%
Draw
4.2
2
49%
Away Win
2.05
xG Home
1.23
xG Away
1.71
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
BTTS
58%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Zurich an expected 1.2 goals and FC Basel 1893 an expected 1.7 goals. FC Zurich have a 28% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and FC Basel 1893 at 49%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.1%
1:2
9.5%
0:1
9%
0:2
7.7%
2:1
6.8%
1:0
6.5%
2:2
5.9%
1:3
5.4%
0:0
5.3%
0:3
4.4%
2:0
4%
2:3
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Basel 1893 Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 49% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.04 |
| Market Odds | 2.17 |
Team Comparison
| FC Zurich | FC Basel 1893 | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 4 |
| 34 | Points | 53 |
| 32% | Win % | 47% |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.56 |
| 1.94 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.31 |
Venue Form
FC Zurich at Home
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
FC Zurich
W