1
14%
Home Win
7.21
X
15%
Draw
6.72
2
71%
Away Win
1.41
xG Home
1.31
xG Away
2.97
Over 2.5 Goals
80%
BTTS
69%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Winterthur an expected 1.3 goals and FC Luzern an expected 3.0 goals. FC Winterthur have a 14% win probability, draw stands at 15%, and FC Luzern at 71%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 80%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:2
8%
1:3
7.9%
0:2
6.1%
0:3
6.1%
1:4
5.9%
1:1
5.4%
2:2
5.2%
2:3
5.2%
0:4
4.5%
0:1
4.1%
2:4
3.8%
2:1
3.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Luzern Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 71% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.41 |
| Market Odds | 1.5 |
Team Comparison
| FC Winterthur | FC Luzern | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 7 |
| 19 | Points | 39 |
| 13% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 2.63 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.81 |
