1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.61
xG Away
1.10
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
BTTS
62%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Thun an expected 2.6 goals and Servette FC an expected 1.1 goals. FC Thun have a 69% win probability, draw stands at 16%, and Servette FC at 14%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 71%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
9.2%
2:0
8.3%
3:1
8%
3:0
7.2%
1:1
7%
1:0
6.4%
4:1
5.2%
2:2
5.1%
4:0
4.7%
3:2
4.4%
1:2
3.9%
4:2
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Thun Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 69% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.45 |
| Market Odds | 1.54 |
Team Comparison
| FC Thun | Servette FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 8 |
| 74 | Points | 40 |
| 73% | Win % | 27% |
| 2.27 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.73 |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.73 |
Venue Form
FC Thun at Home
W0
D0
L3
(3 games)
Servette FC Away
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
FC Thun
L
L
L
Servette FC
L
W
W
L
