1
71%
Home Win
1.4
X
16%
Draw
6.09
2
12%
Away Win
8.34
xG Home
2.51
xG Away
0.94
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Thun an expected 2.5 goals and Lausanne an expected 0.9 goals. FC Thun have a 71% win probability, draw stands at 16%, and Lausanne at 12%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 67%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
10%
2:1
9.4%
3:0
8.4%
1:0
8%
3:1
7.9%
1:1
7.5%
4:0
5.3%
4:1
4.9%
2:2
4.4%
3:2
3.7%
1:2
3.5%
0:0
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Thun Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 71% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.41 |
| Market Odds | 1.5 |
Team Comparison
| FC Thun | Lausanne | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 8 |
| 71 | Points | 39 |
| 72% | Win % | 31% |
| 2.25 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.47 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.69 |
Venue Form
FC Thun at Home
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Lausanne Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
FC Thun
L
Lausanne
W
