1
68%
Home Win
1.47
X
16%
Draw
6.14
2
15%
Away Win
6.46
xG Home
2.74
xG Away
1.27
Over 2.5 Goals
76%
BTTS
67%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Thun an expected 2.7 goals and BSC Young Boys an expected 1.3 goals. FC Thun have a 68% win probability, draw stands at 16%, and BSC Young Boys at 15%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 76%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
8.6%
3:1
7.9%
2:0
6.8%
1:1
6.3%
3:0
6.2%
2:2
5.5%
4:1
5.4%
3:2
5%
1:0
4.9%
4:0
4.2%
1:2
4%
4:2
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Thun Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 68% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.47 |
| Market Odds | 1.56 |
Team Comparison
| FC Thun | BSC Young Boys | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 5 |
| 71 | Points | 47 |
| 72% | Win % | 41% |
| 2.25 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.84 |
