1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.74
xG Away
1.26
Over 2.5 Goals
76%
BTTS
67%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Thun an expected 2.7 goals and BSC Young Boys an expected 1.3 goals. FC Thun have a 68% win probability, draw stands at 16%, and BSC Young Boys at 15%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 76%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
8.7%
3:1
7.9%
2:0
6.9%
1:1
6.3%
3:0
6.3%
2:2
5.4%
4:1
5.4%
1:0
5%
3:2
5%
4:0
4.3%
1:2
4%
4:2
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Thun Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| FC Thun | BSC Young Boys | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 6 |
| 74 | Points | 48 |
| 73% | Win % | 39% |
| 2.27 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.97 |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.82 |
Venue Form
FC Thun at Home
W0
D0
L3
(3 games)
BSC Young Boys Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
FC Thun
L
L
L
BSC Young Boys
D
W
Head to Head
FC Thun
3 : 8
BSC Young Boys
W
BSC Young Boys
1 : 2
FC Thun
W
FC Thun
4 : 1
BSC Young Boys
L
