FC St. Gallen vs FC Zurich Prediction

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2 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sun, 26 Jul 2026 · Super League
1 70%
Home Win 1.42
X 17%
Draw 5.95
2 13%
Away Win 7.89
xG Home 2.47
xG Away 0.96
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
BTTS 56%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives FC St. Gallen an expected 2.5 goals and FC Zurich an expected 1.0 goals. FC St. Gallen have a 70% win probability, draw stands at 17%, and FC Zurich at 13%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 67%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:0 9.9%
2:1 9.5%
3:0 8.1%
1:0 8%
3:1 7.8%
1:1 7.7%
4:0 5%
4:1 4.8%
2:2 4.5%
3:2 3.7%
1:2 3.7%
0:0 3.2%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick FC St. Gallen Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

FC St. Gallen FC Zurich
2 League Position 10
56 Points 34
52% Win % 32%
1.94 Avg Goals Scored 1.42
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 1.94

Head to Head

06 Apr 2026 Super League
FC ST. Gallen 2 : 1 FC Zurich
L
06 Dec 2025 Super League
FC ST. Gallen 1 : 2 FC Zurich
W
27 Sep 2025 Super League
FC Zurich 3 : 1 FC ST. Gallen
L