1
59%
Home Win
1.7
X
20%
Draw
5.13
2
22%
Away Win
4.63
xG Home
2.31
xG Away
1.35
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
BTTS
67%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC St. Gallen an expected 2.3 goals and FC Luzern an expected 1.4 goals. FC St. Gallen have a 59% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and FC Luzern at 22%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 71%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
9.3%
1:1
8%
3:1
7.1%
2:0
6.9%
2:2
6.3%
1:0
5.9%
1:2
5.4%
3:0
5.3%
3:2
4.8%
4:1
4.1%
0:1
3.5%
4:0
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC St. Gallen Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 59% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.69 |
| Market Odds | 1.8 |
Team Comparison
| FC St. Gallen | FC Luzern | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 7 |
| 56 | Points | 39 |
| 52% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.19 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.81 |
