FC Sion vs FC Thun Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 06 Sep 2026 · Super League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.15
xG Away 1.37
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
BTTS 51%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Sion an expected 1.2 goals and FC Thun an expected 1.4 goals. FC Sion have a 31% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and FC Thun at 42%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.7%
0:1 11%
1:0 9.2%
1:2 8.7%
0:0 8%
0:2 7.6%
2:1 7.3%
2:0 5.3%
2:2 5%
1:3 4%
0:3 3.5%
3:1 2.8%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick FC Thun Win
Probability 42%
Predicted Odds 2.38
Market Odds 2.53

Team Comparison

FC Sion FC Thun
5 League Position 1
52 Points 74
39% Win % 73%
1.55 Avg Goals Scored 2.27
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12

Venue Form

FC Sion at Home
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate
FC Thun Away
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

FC Sion
D W
FC Thun
W L