1
28%
Home Win
3.61
X
26%
Draw
3.78
2
46%
Away Win
2.18
xG Home
1.05
xG Away
1.44
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Sion an expected 1.1 goals and FC Thun an expected 1.4 goals. FC Sion have a 28% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and FC Thun at 46%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.5%
0:1
11.9%
1:2
9%
1:0
8.7%
0:2
8.6%
0:0
8.3%
2:1
6.6%
2:2
4.8%
2:0
4.6%
1:3
4.3%
0:3
4.1%
3:1
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Thun Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Team Comparison
| FC Sion | FC Thun | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 1 |
| 46 | Points | 71 |
| 35% | Win % | 72% |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.25 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.13 |
