1
47%
Home Win
2.12
X
24%
Draw
4.19
2
29%
Away Win
3.45
xG Home
1.69
xG Away
1.28
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS
59%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Sion an expected 1.7 goals and FC Luzern an expected 1.3 goals. FC Sion have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and FC Luzern at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.1%
2:1
9.4%
1:0
8.7%
2:0
7.3%
1:2
7.1%
0:1
6.5%
2:2
6%
3:1
5.3%
0:0
5.1%
0:2
4.2%
3:0
4.1%
3:2
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Sion Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 47% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.13 |
| Market Odds | 2.26 |
Team Comparison
| FC Sion | FC Luzern | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 7 |
| 46 | Points | 39 |
| 35% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.81 |
