1
38%
Home Win
2.6
X
30%
Draw
3.34
2
32%
Away Win
3.17
xG Home
1.11
xG Away
0.98
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
BTTS
42%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Sion an expected 1.1 goals and FC Lugano an expected 1.0 goals. FC Sion have a 38% win probability, draw stands at 30%, and FC Lugano at 32%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 65%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.7%
1:1
13.4%
0:0
12.3%
0:1
12.1%
2:0
7.6%
2:1
7.5%
1:2
6.6%
0:2
5.9%
2:2
3.7%
3:0
2.8%
3:1
2.8%
1:3
2.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Sion Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| FC Sion | FC Lugano | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 3 |
| 46 | Points | 54 |
| 35% | Win % | 47% |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.19 |
