FC Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC Prediction

1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sun, 18 Oct 2026 · K League 1
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.98
xG Away 0.65
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
BTTS 41%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Seoul an expected 2.0 goals and Gimcheon Sangmu FC an expected 0.6 goals. FC Seoul have a 69% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Gimcheon Sangmu FC at 11%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 14.3%
2:0 14.1%
3:0 9.3%
1:1 9.3%
2:1 9.2%
0:0 7.2%
3:1 6.1%
0:1 4.7%
4:0 4.6%
1:2 3%
4:1 3%
2:2 3%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick FC Seoul Win
Probability 69%
Predicted Odds 1.45
Market Odds 1.54

Team Comparison

FC Seoul Gimcheon Sangmu FC
1 League Position 10
67 Points 34
61% Win % 15%
1.85 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24

Venue Form

FC Seoul at Home
W3 D2 L0 (5 games)
60% win rate
Gimcheon Sangmu FC Away
W1 D2 L1 (4 games)
25% win rate

Recent Form

FC Seoul
D W W D W
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
W D D L