1
27%
Home Win
3.74
X
28%
Draw
3.58
2
45%
Away Win
2.21
xG Home
0.95
xG Away
1.32
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Rostov an expected 0.9 goals and Dinamo Moscow an expected 1.3 goals. FC Rostov have a 27% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Dinamo Moscow at 45%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
13.7%
1:1
12.9%
0:0
10.3%
1:0
9.8%
0:2
9.1%
1:2
8.6%
2:1
6.1%
2:0
4.6%
2:2
4%
0:3
4%
1:3
3.8%
3:1
1.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Dinamo Moscow Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| FC Rostov | Dinamo Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 7 |
| 33 | Points | 45 |
| 27% | Win % | 40% |
| 0.83 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.7 |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
Venue Form
FC Rostov at Home
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
FC Rostov
W
