1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.83
xG Away
1.35
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
BTTS
62%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Porto an expected 1.8 goals and Manchester City an expected 1.4 goals. FC Porto have a 49% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Manchester City at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.3%
2:1
9.4%
1:0
7.6%
1:2
7%
2:0
6.9%
2:2
6.4%
3:1
5.7%
0:1
5.6%
3:0
4.2%
0:0
4.2%
3:2
3.9%
0:2
3.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Porto Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 49% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.04 |
| Market Odds | 2.17 |
Venue Form
FC Porto at Home
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Manchester City Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
FC Porto
L
Manchester City
W