1
15%
Home Win
6.64
X
18%
Draw
5.49
2
67%
Away Win
1.5
xG Home
1.03
xG Away
2.35
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
BTTS
58%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Nordsjaelland an expected 1.0 goals and FC Midtjylland an expected 2.4 goals. FC Nordsjaelland have a 15% win probability, draw stands at 18%, and FC Midtjylland at 67%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 66%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:2
9.7%
0:2
9.4%
1:1
8.2%
0:1
8%
1:3
7.6%
0:3
7.4%
2:2
5%
1:4
4.5%
0:4
4.3%
2:1
4.2%
2:3
3.9%
1:0
3.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Midtjylland Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 67% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.49 |
| Market Odds | 1.59 |
Team Comparison
| FC Nordsjaelland | FC Midtjylland | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 2 |
| 31 | Points | 46 |
| 45% | Win % | 59% |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.64 |
| 1.77 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.05 |
Venue Form
FC Nordsjaelland at Home
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
FC Midtjylland Away
W2
D2
L0
(4 games)
Recent Form
FC Nordsjaelland
D
D
W
FC Midtjylland
W
D
D
W