1
57%
Home Win
1.77
X
26%
Draw
3.91
2
18%
Away Win
5.6
xG Home
1.55
xG Away
0.74
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS
41%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Midtjylland an expected 1.5 goals and Brondby an expected 0.7 goals. FC Midtjylland have a 57% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Brondby at 18%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
15.7%
2:0
12.1%
1:1
11.6%
0:0
10.2%
2:1
9%
0:1
7.5%
3:0
6.3%
3:1
4.6%
1:2
4.3%
2:2
3.3%
0:2
2.8%
4:0
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Midtjylland Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 57% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.75 |
| Market Odds | 1.87 |
Team Comparison
| FC Midtjylland | Brondby | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 4 |
| 46 | Points | 34 |
| 59% | Win % | 45% |
| 2.64 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.41 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
FC Midtjylland at Home
W3
D2
L0
(5 games)
Brondby Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
FC Midtjylland
D
W
D
W
W
Brondby
L
W
