1
54%
Home Win
1.85
X
20%
Draw
4.94
2
26%
Away Win
3.9
xG Home
2.23
xG Away
1.50
Over 2.5 Goals
72%
BTTS
69%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Luzern an expected 2.2 goals and Lausanne an expected 1.5 goals. FC Luzern have a 54% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Lausanne at 26%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 72%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
8.9%
1:1
8%
2:2
6.7%
3:1
6.6%
1:2
6%
2:0
6%
1:0
5.3%
3:2
5%
3:0
4.4%
4:1
3.7%
0:1
3.6%
2:3
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Luzern Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 54% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.85 |
| Market Odds | 1.97 |
Team Comparison
| FC Luzern | Lausanne | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 8 |
| 39 | Points | 39 |
| 32% | Win % | 31% |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.47 |
| 1.81 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.69 |
Venue Form
Lausanne Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Lausanne
W