1
24%
Home Win
4.11
X
20%
Draw
5.06
2
56%
Away Win
1.79
xG Home
1.49
xG Away
2.30
Over 2.5 Goals
73%
BTTS
70%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Luzern an expected 1.5 goals and FC Thun an expected 2.3 goals. FC Luzern have a 24% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and FC Thun at 56%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 73%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:2
8.9%
1:1
7.7%
1:3
6.8%
2:2
6.6%
0:2
6%
2:1
5.8%
0:1
5.2%
2:3
5.1%
0:3
4.6%
1:4
3.9%
1:0
3.4%
3:2
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Thun Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| FC Luzern | FC Thun | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 1 |
| 39 | Points | 71 |
| 32% | Win % | 72% |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.25 |
| 1.81 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.13 |
Head to Head
FC Thun
2 : 1
FC Luzern
L
FC Thun
4 : 1
FC Luzern
L
FC Luzern
1 : 2
FC Thun
W
