1
61%
Home Win
1.65
X
21%
Draw
4.66
2
18%
Away Win
5.62
xG Home
1.96
xG Away
0.95
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Lugano an expected 2.0 goals and FC Zurich an expected 1.0 goals. FC Lugano have a 61% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and FC Zurich at 18%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
10.6%
2:0
10.4%
1:1
10.2%
2:1
9.9%
3:0
6.8%
3:1
6.5%
0:0
5.4%
0:1
5.2%
1:2
4.8%
2:2
4.7%
4:0
3.3%
4:1
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Lugano Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| FC Lugano | FC Zurich | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 10 |
| 54 | Points | 34 |
| 47% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.42 |
| 1.19 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.94 |
Head to Head
FC Zurich
0 : 1
FC Lugano
W
FC Zurich
0 : 1
FC Lugano
W
FC Lugano
1 : 0
FC Zurich
L
