1
48%
Home Win
2.07
X
23%
Draw
4.29
2
28%
Away Win
3.51
xG Home
1.77
xG Away
1.31
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
BTTS
60%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Lugano an expected 1.8 goals and FC Vaduz an expected 1.3 goals. FC Lugano have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and FC Vaduz at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.7%
2:1
9.4%
1:0
8.2%
2:0
7.2%
1:2
7%
2:2
6.2%
0:1
6%
3:1
5.6%
0:0
4.6%
3:0
4.2%
0:2
4%
3:2
3.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Lugano Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Head to Head
FC Lugano
1 : 2
FC Vaduz
W
FC Lugano
3 : 0
FC Vaduz
L
FC Lugano
0 : 2
FC Vaduz
W
