1
34%
Home Win
2.92
X
27%
Draw
3.72
2
39%
Away Win
2.58
xG Home
1.21
xG Away
1.30
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Lugano an expected 1.2 goals and FC St. Gallen an expected 1.3 goals. FC Lugano have a 34% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and FC St. Gallen at 39%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.8%
0:1
10.6%
1:0
9.8%
1:2
8.3%
0:0
8.1%
2:1
7.7%
0:2
6.9%
2:0
5.9%
2:2
5%
1:3
3.6%
3:1
3.1%
0:3
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC St. Gallen Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| FC Lugano | FC St. Gallen | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 2 |
| 54 | Points | 56 |
| 47% | Win % | 52% |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.94 |
| 1.19 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.19 |
Venue Form
FC Lugano at Home
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
FC St. Gallen Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
FC Lugano
D
FC St. Gallen
W
