1
50%
Home Win
2.01
X
23%
Draw
4.43
2
28%
Away Win
3.61
xG Home
1.86
xG Away
1.35
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
BTTS
62%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Lugano an expected 1.9 goals and BSC Young Boys an expected 1.3 goals. FC Lugano have a 50% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and BSC Young Boys at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.1%
2:1
9.4%
1:0
7.5%
2:0
7%
1:2
6.8%
2:2
6.3%
3:1
5.9%
0:1
5.4%
3:0
4.4%
0:0
4%
3:2
3.9%
0:2
3.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Lugano Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| FC Lugano | BSC Young Boys | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 5 |
| 54 | Points | 47 |
| 47% | Win % | 41% |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.19 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.84 |
Venue Form
BSC Young Boys Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
BSC Young Boys
W