1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.83
xG Away
1.29
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS
61%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Lugano an expected 1.8 goals and BSC Young Boys an expected 1.3 goals. FC Lugano have a 50% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and BSC Young Boys at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.4%
2:1
9.5%
1:0
8.1%
2:0
7.4%
1:2
6.7%
2:2
6.2%
3:1
5.8%
0:1
5.7%
3:0
4.5%
0:0
4.4%
3:2
3.8%
0:2
3.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Lugano Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| FC Lugano | BSC Young Boys | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 6 |
| 57 | Points | 48 |
| 48% | Win % | 39% |
| 1.52 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.97 |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.82 |
Venue Form
FC Lugano at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
BSC Young Boys Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
FC Lugano
W
D
BSC Young Boys
D
W
