1
37%
Home Win
2.68
X
29%
Draw
3.48
2
34%
Away Win
2.94
xG Home
1.16
xG Away
1.09
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
BTTS
46%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC BW Linz an expected 1.2 goals and Grazer AK an expected 1.1 goals. FC BW Linz have a 37% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Grazer AK at 34%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.3%
1:0
12.2%
0:1
11.5%
0:0
10.5%
2:1
7.7%
1:2
7.3%
2:0
7.1%
0:2
6.3%
2:2
4.2%
3:1
3%
3:0
2.7%
1:3
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC BW Linz Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 37% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.7 |
| Market Odds | 2.88 |
Team Comparison
| FC BW Linz | Grazer AK | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 11 |
| 15 | Points | 20 |
| 18% | Win % | 18% |
| 0.91 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.64 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.64 |