1
26%
Home Win
3.78
X
24%
Draw
4.13
2
49%
Away Win
2.03
xG Home
1.16
xG Away
1.67
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Basel 1893 an expected 1.2 goals and FC Thun an expected 1.7 goals. FC Basel 1893 have a 26% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and FC Thun at 49%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.4%
0:1
9.8%
1:2
9.5%
0:2
8.2%
1:0
6.8%
2:1
6.6%
0:0
5.9%
2:2
5.5%
1:3
5.3%
0:3
4.6%
2:0
4%
2:3
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Thun Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 49% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.04 |
| Market Odds | 2.17 |
Team Comparison
| FC Basel 1893 | FC Thun | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 1 |
| 53 | Points | 71 |
| 47% | Win % | 72% |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.25 |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.13 |
Venue Form
FC Basel 1893 at Home
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
FC Basel 1893
L
