1
32%
Home Win
3.1
X
26%
Draw
3.87
2
42%
Away Win
2.39
xG Home
1.23
xG Away
1.44
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Basel 1893 an expected 1.2 goals and FC St. Gallen an expected 1.4 goals. FC Basel 1893 have a 32% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and FC St. Gallen at 42%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 50%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.3%
0:1
10%
1:2
8.8%
1:0
8.5%
2:1
7.6%
0:2
7.2%
0:0
6.9%
2:2
5.4%
2:0
5.3%
1:3
4.2%
0:3
3.4%
3:1
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC St. Gallen Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 42% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.38 |
| Market Odds | 2.53 |
Team Comparison
| FC Basel 1893 | FC St. Gallen | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 2 |
| 53 | Points | 56 |
| 47% | Win % | 52% |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.94 |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.19 |
Venue Form
FC Basel 1893 at Home
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
FC St. Gallen Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
FC Basel 1893
L
L
FC St. Gallen
L
W
