1
38%
Home Win
2.62
X
28%
Draw
3.59
2
34%
Away Win
2.95
xG Home
1.23
xG Away
1.14
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS
48%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Basel 1893 an expected 1.2 goals and FC Lugano an expected 1.1 goals. FC Basel 1893 have a 38% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and FC Lugano at 34%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.1%
1:0
11.5%
0:1
10.7%
0:0
9.4%
2:1
8%
1:2
7.5%
2:0
7.1%
0:2
6.1%
2:2
4.6%
3:1
3.3%
3:0
2.9%
1:3
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Basel 1893 Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| FC Basel 1893 | FC Lugano | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 3 |
| 53 | Points | 54 |
| 47% | Win % | 47% |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.19 |
Venue Form
FC Basel 1893 at Home
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
FC Basel 1893
L
