1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.18
xG Away
1.18
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS
48%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Basel 1893 an expected 1.2 goals and FC Lugano an expected 1.2 goals. FC Basel 1893 have a 36% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and FC Lugano at 36%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.2%
1:0
11.2%
0:1
11.1%
0:0
9.5%
2:1
7.8%
1:2
7.7%
2:0
6.6%
0:2
6.5%
2:2
4.6%
3:1
3.1%
1:3
3%
3:0
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Basel 1893 Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 36% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.78 |
| Market Odds | 2.96 |
Team Comparison
| FC Basel 1893 | FC Lugano | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 3 |
| 53 | Points | 57 |
| 45% | Win % | 48% |
| 1.55 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.52 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.15 |
Venue Form
FC Basel 1893 at Home
W0
D0
L3
(3 games)
FC Lugano Away
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
FC Basel 1893
L
L
L
FC Lugano
W
W
