1
25%
Home Win
3.99
X
28%
Draw
3.58
2
47%
Away Win
2.13
xG Home
0.89
xG Away
1.34
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
BTTS
44%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Fatih Karagümrük an expected 0.9 goals and Alanyaspor an expected 1.3 goals. Fatih Karagümrük have a 25% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Alanyaspor at 47%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
14.3%
1:1
12.8%
0:0
10.7%
1:0
9.6%
0:2
9.6%
1:2
8.6%
2:1
5.7%
2:0
4.3%
0:3
4.3%
2:2
3.8%
1:3
3.8%
3:1
1.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Alanyaspor Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 47% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.13 |
| Market Odds | 2.26 |
Team Comparison
| Fatih Karagümrük | Alanyaspor | |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | League Position | 10 |
| 30 | Points | 37 |
| 24% | Win % | 21% |
| 0.91 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
Venue Form
Fatih Karagümrük at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Alanyaspor Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Fatih Karagümrük
W
L
Alanyaspor
W
D
L
