1
33%
Home Win
3.05
X
26%
Draw
3.8
2
41%
Away Win
2.45
xG Home
1.21
xG Away
1.38
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Fagiano Okayama an expected 1.2 goals and Cerezo Osaka an expected 1.4 goals. Fagiano Okayama have a 33% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Cerezo Osaka at 41%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.5%
0:1
10.4%
1:0
9.1%
1:2
8.6%
2:1
7.6%
0:0
7.5%
0:2
7.1%
2:0
5.5%
2:2
5.2%
1:3
4%
0:3
3.3%
3:1
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Cerezo Osaka Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Fagiano Okayama | Cerezo Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 10 |
| 45 | Points | 52 |
| 32% | Win % | 37% |
| 0.89 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.58 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
Venue Form
Fagiano Okayama at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Cerezo Osaka Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Fagiano Okayama
D
W
W
Cerezo Osaka
D
L
W
Head to Head
Cerezo Osaka
1 : 2
Fagiano Okayama
W
Fagiano Okayama
1 : 2
Cerezo Osaka
W
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 1
Fagiano Okayama
L