1
46%
Home Win
2.15
X
35%
Draw
2.86
2
19%
Away Win
5.39
xG Home
0.99
xG Away
0.51
Over 2.5 Goals
19%
BTTS
25%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Equatorial Guinea an expected 1.0 goals and Sudan an expected 0.5 goals. Equatorial Guinea have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 35%, and Sudan at 19%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 81%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
22.2%
1:0
22.1%
0:1
11.4%
1:1
11.3%
2:0
11%
2:1
5.6%
3:0
3.6%
0:2
2.9%
1:2
2.9%
3:1
1.9%
2:2
1.4%
4:0
0.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Equatorial Guinea Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Equatorial Guinea | Sudan | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 3 |
| 0 | Points | 3 |
| 0% | Win % | 33% |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.33 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.67 |
Head to Head
Sudan
1 : 4
Equatorial Guinea
W
Equatorial Guinea
1 : 0
Sudan
W