1
1%
Home Win
85.47
X
5%
Draw
20.12
2
93%
Away Win
1.08
xG Home
0.30
xG Away
3.58
Over 2.5 Goals
73%
BTTS
25%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Equatorial Guinea an expected 0.3 goals and Algeria an expected 3.6 goals. Equatorial Guinea have a 1% win probability, draw stands at 5%, and Algeria at 93%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–3. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 73%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:3
15.8%
0:4
14.1%
0:2
13.3%
0:1
7.4%
1:3
4.7%
1:4
4.2%
1:2
4%
1:1
2.2%
0:0
2.1%
2:3
0.7%
2:4
0.6%
1:0
0.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Algeria Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Equatorial Guinea | Algeria | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 1 |
| 0 | Points | 9 |
| 0% | Win % | 100% |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.33 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.33 |
Head to Head
Equatorial Guinea
0 : 0
Algeria
D
Algeria
2 : 0
Equatorial Guinea
L
Algeria
0 : 1
Equatorial Guinea
W