1
75%
Home Win
1.33
X
16%
Draw
6.36
2
9%
Away Win
11.44
xG Home
2.41
xG Away
0.69
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives England an expected 2.4 goals and Croatia an expected 0.7 goals. England have a 75% win probability, draw stands at 16%, and Croatia at 9%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
13.1%
1:0
10.9%
3:0
10.5%
2:1
9%
1:1
7.5%
3:1
7.3%
4:0
6.3%
0:0
4.5%
4:1
4.4%
2:2
3.1%
0:1
3.1%
1:2
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | England Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| England | Croatia | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 2 |
| 7 | Points | 6 |
| 67% | Win % | 67% |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.67 |
Head to Head
England
1 : 0
Croatia
W
England
2 : 1
Croatia
W
Croatia
0 : 0
England
D