1
73%
Home Win
1.36
X
20%
Draw
4.92
2
6%
Away Win
15.72
xG Home
1.79
xG Away
0.34
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
BTTS
24%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Egypt an expected 1.8 goals and Zimbabwe an expected 0.3 goals. Egypt have a 73% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Zimbabwe at 6%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
21.3%
2:0
19%
0:0
11.9%
3:0
11.3%
1:1
7.2%
2:1
6.5%
4:0
5.1%
0:1
4.1%
3:1
3.9%
4:1
1.7%
1:2
1.2%
2:2
1.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Egypt Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Egypt | Zimbabwe | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 4 |
| 7 | Points | 1 |
| 67% | Win % | 0% |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |
Head to Head
Egypt
1 : 0
Zimbabwe
W