1
56%
Home Win
1.8
X
31%
Draw
3.2
2
13%
Away Win
7.56
xG Home
1.19
xG Away
0.43
Over 2.5 Goals
22%
BTTS
24%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Egypt an expected 1.2 goals and South Africa an expected 0.4 goals. Egypt have a 56% win probability, draw stands at 31%, and South Africa at 13%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 78%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
23.6%
0:0
19.8%
2:0
14.1%
1:1
10.1%
0:1
8.4%
2:1
6%
3:0
5.6%
3:1
2.4%
1:2
2.1%
0:2
1.8%
4:0
1.7%
2:2
1.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | South Africa Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Egypt | South Africa | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 2 |
| 7 | Points | 6 |
| 67% | Win % | 67% |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
Head to Head
Egypt
1 : 3
South Africa
L
South Africa
1 : 1
Egypt
D
Egypt
0 : 1
South Africa
L