1
50%
Home Win
1.99
X
31%
Draw
3.27
2
19%
Away Win
5.24
xG Home
1.21
xG Away
0.62
Over 2.5 Goals
28%
BTTS
32%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Egypt an expected 1.2 goals and Iran an expected 0.6 goals. Egypt have a 50% win probability, draw stands at 31%, and Iran at 19%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 72%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
19.4%
0:0
16.1%
1:1
12%
2:0
11.7%
0:1
10%
2:1
7.3%
3:0
4.7%
1:2
3.7%
0:2
3.1%
3:1
2.9%
2:2
2.3%
4:0
1.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Egypt Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Egypt | Iran | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 3 |
| 5 | Points | 3 |
| 33% | Win % | 0% |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |