1
9%
Home Win
11
X
23%
Draw
4.41
2
68%
Away Win
1.47
xG Home
0.43
xG Away
1.68
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
BTTS
29%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Ecuador an expected 0.4 goals and Venezuela an expected 1.7 goals. Ecuador have a 9% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Venezuela at 68%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 65%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
20.3%
0:2
17%
0:0
12.1%
0:3
9.5%
1:1
8.8%
1:2
7.4%
1:0
5.3%
1:3
4.1%
0:4
4%
2:1
1.9%
1:4
1.7%
2:2
1.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Ecuador Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 33% |
| Predicted Odds | 3.03 |
| Market Odds | 3.22 |
Team Comparison
| Ecuador | Venezuela | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 1 |
| 4 | Points | 9 |
| 33% | Win % | 100% |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.33 |
Head to Head
Venezuela
0 : 0
Ecuador
D
Ecuador
1 : 0
Venezuela
W
Venezuela
2 : 1
Ecuador
L