1
22%
Home Win
4.47
X
28%
Draw
3.51
2
49%
Away Win
2.04
xG Home
0.79
xG Away
1.32
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
BTTS
40%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Djurgårdens IF an expected 0.8 goals and Mjällby AIF an expected 1.3 goals. Djurgårdens IF have a 22% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Mjällby AIF at 49%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 65%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
16%
1:1
12.6%
0:0
12.1%
0:2
10.6%
1:0
9.6%
1:2
8.3%
2:1
5%
0:3
4.6%
2:0
3.8%
1:3
3.7%
2:2
3.3%
0:4
1.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Mjällby AIF Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 49% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.04 |
| Market Odds | 2.17 |
Team Comparison
| Djurgårdens IF | Mjällby AIF | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 1 |
| 49 | Points | 75 |
| 43% | Win % | 77% |
| 1.73 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.9 |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.6 |
Venue Form
Djurgårdens IF at Home
W2
D1
L2
(5 games)
Mjällby AIF Away
W2
D3
L0
(5 games)
Recent Form
Djurgårdens IF
W
L
L
W
D
Mjällby AIF
D
D
W
W
D
