1
20%
Home Win
5.04
X
24%
Draw
4.23
2
57%
Away Win
1.77
xG Home
0.92
xG Away
1.73
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
49%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Degerfors IF an expected 0.9 goals and Malmö FF an expected 1.7 goals. Degerfors IF have a 20% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Malmö FF at 57%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
12.2%
1:1
11.2%
0:2
10.6%
1:2
9.7%
0:0
7.1%
1:0
6.5%
0:3
6.1%
1:3
5.6%
2:1
5.2%
2:2
4.5%
2:0
3%
0:4
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Malmö FF Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 57% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.75 |
| Market Odds | 1.87 |
Team Comparison
| Degerfors IF | Malmö FF | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 6 |
| 30 | Points | 49 |
| 27% | Win % | 43% |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.73 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.1 |
Venue Form
Degerfors IF at Home
W1
D2
L1
(4 games)
Malmö FF Away
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Degerfors IF
D
L
D
W
Malmö FF
L
W
W
