1
27%
Home Win
3.64
X
22%
Draw
4.56
2
51%
Away Win
1.98
xG Home
1.40
xG Away
1.96
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
BTTS
65%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Dalian Zhixing an expected 1.4 goals and Beijing Guoan an expected 2.0 goals. Dalian Zhixing have a 27% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Beijing Guoan at 51%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 65%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
9.5%
1:2
9.3%
0:1
6.8%
0:2
6.7%
2:1
6.7%
2:2
6.5%
1:3
6.1%
1:0
4.9%
0:3
4.4%
2:3
4.3%
0:0
3.5%
2:0
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Beijing Guoan Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 51% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.96 |
| Market Odds | 2.09 |
Team Comparison
| Dalian Zhixing | Beijing Guoan | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 3 |
| 29 | Points | 29 |
| 45% | Win % | 43% |
| 1.55 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.81 |
| 1.8 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
Venue Form
Dalian Zhixing at Home
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Beijing Guoan Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Dalian Zhixing
W
W
L
L
Beijing Guoan
W
