1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.35
xG Away
1.00
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Daejeon Citizen an expected 1.4 goals and Gwangju FC an expected 1.0 goals. Daejeon Citizen have a 45% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Gwangju FC at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.9%
1:0
12.8%
0:1
9.5%
0:0
9.5%
2:1
8.7%
2:0
8.7%
1:2
6.4%
0:2
4.8%
2:2
4.4%
3:1
3.9%
3:0
3.9%
1:3
2.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Daejeon Citizen Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Venue Form
Daejeon Citizen at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Gwangju FC Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Daejeon Citizen
W
L
Gwangju FC
L
L
Head to Head
Gwangju FC
0 : 5
Daejeon Citizen
W
Gwangju FC
2 : 0
Daejeon Citizen
L
Gwangju FC
2 : 2
Daejeon Citizen
D