1
81%
Home Win
1.23
X
14%
Draw
7.41
2
5%
Away Win
19.72
xG Home
2.45
xG Away
0.45
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS
33%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Daejeon Citizen an expected 2.4 goals and Gwangju FC an expected 0.5 goals. Daejeon Citizen have a 81% win probability, draw stands at 14%, and Gwangju FC at 5%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
16.5%
1:0
13.5%
3:0
13.5%
4:0
8.2%
2:1
7.5%
1:1
6.1%
3:1
6.1%
0:0
5.5%
4:1
3.7%
0:1
2.5%
2:2
1.7%
1:2
1.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Daejeon Citizen Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 81% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.23 |
| Market Odds | 1.31 |
Team Comparison
| Daejeon Citizen | Gwangju FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 12 |
| 23 | Points | 10 |
| 24% | Win % | 5% |
| 1.19 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.52 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.24 |
Venue Form
Daejeon Citizen at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Gwangju FC Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Daejeon Citizen
W
L
Gwangju FC
L
L
