1
44%
Home Win
2.26
X
22%
Draw
4.62
2
34%
Away Win
2.94
xG Home
1.95
xG Away
1.69
Over 2.5 Goals
70%
BTTS
70%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Crystal Palace an expected 1.9 goals and Rayo Vallecano an expected 1.7 goals. Crystal Palace have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Rayo Vallecano at 34%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 70%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
8.6%
2:1
8.4%
1:2
7.3%
2:2
7.1%
3:1
5.5%
1:0
5.1%
2:0
5%
3:2
4.6%
0:1
4.4%
1:3
4.1%
2:3
4%
0:2
3.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Crystal Palace Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Crystal Palace | Rayo Vallecano | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 5 |
| 10 | Points | 13 |
| 50% | Win % | 67% |
| 1.83 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.17 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.17 |
