1
73%
Home Win
1.36
X
16%
Draw
6.34
2
11%
Away Win
9.35
xG Home
2.54
xG Away
0.87
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Costa Rica an expected 2.5 goals and Dominican Republic an expected 0.9 goals. Costa Rica have a 73% win probability, draw stands at 16%, and Dominican Republic at 11%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 66%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
10.6%
2:1
9.3%
3:0
9%
1:0
8.4%
3:1
7.9%
1:1
7.3%
4:0
5.7%
4:1
5%
2:2
4%
3:2
3.4%
0:0
3.3%
1:2
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Costa Rica Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Costa Rica | Dominican Republic | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 3 |
| 7 | Points | 1 |
| 67% | Win % | 0% |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.67 |