1
37%
Home Win
2.71
X
30%
Draw
3.36
2
33%
Away Win
3
xG Home
1.10
xG Away
1.03
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
BTTS
43%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Corinthians an expected 1.1 goals and Atletico-MG an expected 1.0 goals. Corinthians have a 37% win probability, draw stands at 30%, and Atletico-MG at 33%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.5%
1:0
13.1%
0:1
12.3%
0:0
12%
2:1
7.4%
2:0
7.2%
1:2
6.9%
0:2
6.3%
2:2
3.8%
3:1
2.7%
3:0
2.6%
1:3
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Corinthians Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 33% |
| Predicted Odds | 3.03 |
| Market Odds | 3.22 |
Team Comparison
| Corinthians | Atletico-MG | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 11 |
| 47 | Points | 48 |
| 32% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.13 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.16 |
Venue Form
Corinthians at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Atletico-MG Away
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Corinthians
W
W
D
Atletico-MG
W
W
L
D
Head to Head
Corinthians
1 : 0
Atletico-MG
L
Atletico-MG
0 : 0
Corinthians
D
Atletico-MG
2 : 1
Corinthians
L