1
91%
Home Win
1.1
X
6%
Draw
16.81
2
2%
Away Win
54.35
xG Home
3.54
xG Away
0.41
Over 2.5 Goals
74%
BTTS
33%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Congo DR an expected 3.5 goals and Uzbekistan an expected 0.4 goals. Congo DR have a 91% win probability, draw stands at 6%, and Uzbekistan at 2%. The most likely exact scoreline is 3–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 74%.
Correct Score Predictions
3:0
14.2%
4:0
12.5%
2:0
12%
1:0
6.8%
3:1
5.9%
4:1
5.2%
2:1
5%
1:1
2.8%
0:0
1.9%
3:2
1.2%
4:2
1.1%
2:2
1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Congo DR Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Congo DR | Uzbekistan | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 4 |
| 4 | Points | 0 |
| 33% | Win % | 0% |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.67 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 3.67 |