1
43%
Home Win
2.3
X
26%
Draw
3.88
2
31%
Away Win
3.25
xG Home
1.46
xG Away
1.19
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Chongqing Tongliang Long an expected 1.5 goals and Yunnan Yukun an expected 1.2 goals. Chongqing Tongliang Long have a 43% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Yunnan Yukun at 31%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.3%
1:0
10.3%
2:1
9%
0:1
8.4%
2:0
7.6%
1:2
7.3%
0:0
7.1%
2:2
5.3%
0:2
5%
3:1
4.4%
3:0
3.7%
1:3
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Yunnan Yukun Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Chongqing Tongliang Long | Yunnan Yukun | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 4 |
| 24 | Points | 21 |
| 40% | Win % | 40% |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.8 |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.6 |
Venue Form
Chongqing Tongliang Long at Home
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Yunnan Yukun Away
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Chongqing Tongliang Long
L
Yunnan Yukun
D
Head to Head
Chongqing Tongliang Long
3 : 2
Yunnan Yukun
L
Yunnan Yukun
1 : 1
Chongqing Tongliang Long
D
Yunnan Yukun
0 : 0
Chongqing Tongliang Long
D