1
43%
Home Win
2.33
X
26%
Draw
3.78
2
31%
Away Win
3.26
xG Home
1.40
xG Away
1.14
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Chongqing Tongliang Long an expected 1.4 goals and Beijing Guoan an expected 1.1 goals. Chongqing Tongliang Long have a 43% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Beijing Guoan at 31%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.6%
1:0
11%
0:1
9%
2:1
8.8%
0:0
7.8%
2:0
7.7%
1:2
7.2%
0:2
5.1%
2:2
5%
3:1
4.1%
3:0
3.6%
1:3
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Beijing Guoan Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Chongqing Tongliang Long | Beijing Guoan | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 10 |
| 24 | Points | 15 |
| 40% | Win % | 33% |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.73 |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.53 |
Venue Form
Chongqing Tongliang Long at Home
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Beijing Guoan Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Chongqing Tongliang Long
L
Beijing Guoan
W