1
35%
Home Win
2.88
X
29%
Draw
3.43
2
36%
Away Win
2.77
xG Home
1.08
xG Away
1.11
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
BTTS
44%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Chongqing Tongliang Long an expected 1.1 goals and Beijing Guoan an expected 1.1 goals. Chongqing Tongliang Long have a 35% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Beijing Guoan at 36%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.4%
0:1
12.4%
1:0
12.1%
0:0
11.1%
1:2
7.5%
2:1
7.3%
0:2
6.9%
2:0
6.5%
2:2
4%
1:3
2.8%
3:1
2.6%
0:3
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Beijing Guoan Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Chongqing Tongliang Long | Beijing Guoan | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 7 |
| 29 | Points | 22 |
| 35% | Win % | 39% |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
Venue Form
Chongqing Tongliang Long at Home
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Beijing Guoan Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Chongqing Tongliang Long
D
W
L
Beijing Guoan
W
