1
61%
Home Win
1.65
X
24%
Draw
4.2
2
16%
Away Win
6.41
xG Home
1.68
xG Away
0.72
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
BTTS
42%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Chengdu Rongcheng an expected 1.7 goals and Chongqing Tongliang Long an expected 0.7 goals. Chengdu Rongcheng have a 61% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Chongqing Tongliang Long at 16%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
15.3%
2:0
12.9%
1:1
10.9%
2:1
9.2%
0:0
9.1%
3:0
7.2%
0:1
6.5%
3:1
5.2%
1:2
3.9%
2:2
3.3%
4:0
3%
0:2
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Chengdu Rongcheng Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Chengdu Rongcheng | Chongqing Tongliang Long | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 9 |
| 52 | Points | 31 |
| 58% | Win % | 27% |
| 1.96 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.04 |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.23 |
Venue Form
Chengdu Rongcheng at Home
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Chongqing Tongliang Long Away
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
Chengdu Rongcheng
W
Chongqing Tongliang Long
L
Head to Head
Chongqing Tongliang Long
3 : 3
Chengdu Better City
D
Chongqing Tongliang Long
0 : 0
Chengdu Better City
D