1
62%
Home Win
1.62
X
23%
Draw
4.28
2
15%
Away Win
6.7
xG Home
1.71
xG Away
0.70
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
BTTS
41%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Chengdu Rongcheng an expected 1.7 goals and Chongqing Tongliang Long an expected 0.7 goals. Chengdu Rongcheng have a 62% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Chongqing Tongliang Long at 15%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
15.3%
2:0
13.1%
1:1
10.7%
2:1
9.2%
0:0
8.9%
3:0
7.5%
0:1
6.3%
3:1
5.3%
1:2
3.8%
2:2
3.2%
4:0
3.2%
4:1
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Chengdu Rongcheng Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 62% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.61 |
| Market Odds | 1.72 |
Team Comparison
| Chengdu Rongcheng | Chongqing Tongliang Long | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 2 |
| 41 | Points | 27 |
| 76% | Win % | 41% |
| 2.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 0.94 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.12 |
Venue Form
Chengdu Rongcheng at Home
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Chongqing Tongliang Long Away
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
Chengdu Rongcheng
W
Chongqing Tongliang Long
L
