1
14%
Home Win
6.93
X
30%
Draw
3.29
2
55%
Away Win
1.81
xG Home
0.48
xG Away
1.23
Over 2.5 Goals
25%
BTTS
27%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Chelsea an expected 0.5 goals and Paris Saint Germain an expected 1.2 goals. Chelsea have a 14% win probability, draw stands at 30%, and Paris Saint Germain at 55%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 75%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
22.2%
0:0
18%
0:2
13.7%
1:1
10.7%
1:0
8.6%
1:2
6.6%
0:3
5.6%
1:3
2.7%
2:1
2.6%
2:0
2.1%
0:4
1.7%
2:2
1.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Paris Saint Germain Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Chelsea | Paris Saint Germain | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 1 |
| 6 | Points | 6 |
| 67% | Win % | 67% |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.33 |
Head to Head
Chelsea
1 : 2
Paris Saint Germain
L
Paris Saint Germain
2 : 1
Chelsea
L
Chelsea
2 : 2
Paris Saint Germain
D