1
65%
Home Win
1.53
X
20%
Draw
5.11
2
15%
Away Win
6.59
xG Home
2.14
xG Away
0.93
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Charlotte an expected 2.1 goals and Atlanta United FC an expected 0.9 goals. Charlotte have a 65% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Atlanta United FC at 15%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
10.7%
1:0
9.9%
2:1
9.9%
1:1
9.2%
3:0
7.6%
3:1
7.1%
0:0
4.6%
2:2
4.6%
0:1
4.3%
1:2
4.3%
4:0
4.1%
4:1
3.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Charlotte Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Charlotte | Atlanta United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 14 |
| 59 | Points | 28 |
| 56% | Win % | 15% |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.12 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.85 |
Venue Form
Charlotte at Home
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Atlanta United FC Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Charlotte
D
L
Atlanta United FC
L
W
L
Head to Head
Charlotte
0 : 2
Atlanta United FC
W
Atlanta United FC
2 : 3
Charlotte
W
Charlotte
2 : 0
Atlanta United FC
L
