Cerezo Osaka vs FC Tokyo Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 30 May 2026 · J1 League
1 44%
Home Win 2.27
X 25%
Draw 3.92
2 30%
Away Win 3.29
xG Home 1.50
xG Away 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
BTTS 54%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Cerezo Osaka an expected 1.5 goals and FC Tokyo an expected 1.2 goals. Cerezo Osaka have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and FC Tokyo at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.1%
1:0 10.1%
2:1 9.1%
0:1 8.1%
2:0 7.6%
1:2 7.3%
0:0 6.7%
2:2 5.4%
0:2 4.8%
3:1 4.5%
3:0 3.8%
1:3 2.9%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick FC Tokyo Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Cerezo Osaka FC Tokyo
0 League Position 0
0 Points 0

Venue Form

Cerezo Osaka at Home
W2 D1 L0 (3 games)
67% win rate
FC Tokyo Away
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

Cerezo Osaka
D W W
FC Tokyo
D W

Head to Head

06 Aug 2025 Emperor Cup
FC Tokyo 2 : 1 Cerezo Osaka
L
14 Jun 2025 J1 League
FC Tokyo 2 : 2 Cerezo Osaka
D
20 Apr 2025 J1 League
Cerezo Osaka 1 : 1 FC Tokyo
D