1
50%
Home Win
1.99
X
23%
Draw
4.32
2
27%
Away Win
3.76
xG Home
1.80
xG Away
1.25
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
BTTS
60%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Cerezo Osaka an expected 1.8 goals and FC Tokyo an expected 1.3 goals. Cerezo Osaka have a 50% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and FC Tokyo at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.7%
2:1
9.6%
1:0
8.5%
2:0
7.7%
1:2
6.7%
2:2
6%
0:1
5.9%
3:1
5.7%
0:0
4.7%
3:0
4.6%
0:2
3.7%
3:2
3.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Tokyo Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Cerezo Osaka | FC Tokyo | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 11 |
| 52 | Points | 50 |
| 37% | Win % | 34% |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.26 |
Venue Form
Cerezo Osaka at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
FC Tokyo Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Cerezo Osaka
D
W
W
FC Tokyo
D
W
Head to Head
FC Tokyo
2 : 1
Cerezo Osaka
L
FC Tokyo
2 : 2
Cerezo Osaka
D
Cerezo Osaka
1 : 1
FC Tokyo
D